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市场调查报告书

市场资料 - 电动车 (EV) 市场的各地区预测:北美 (美国、加拿大)的小型插件EV的市场预测,各州、主要大都会圈

Market Data - EV Geographic Forecast - North America: US and Canadian Light Duty Plug-In EV Forecasts by Province, State, and Major Metropolitan Area

出版商 Guidehouse Insights (formerly Navigant Research) 商品编码 976176
出版日期 内容资讯 英文 33 Pages; 51 Tables, Charts & Figures
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市场资料 - 电动车 (EV) 市场的各地区预测:北美 (美国、加拿大)的小型插件EV的市场预测,各州、主要大都会圈 Market Data - EV Geographic Forecast - North America: US and Canadian Light Duty Plug-In EV Forecasts by Province, State, and Major Metropolitan Area
出版日期: 2020年12月10日内容资讯: 英文 33 Pages; 51 Tables, Charts & Figures
简介

全球小型 (LD) 插件EV (PEV)的销售台数,2019年约达250万台(与前一年同期比较增加30%)。但,由于2020年新型冠状病毒感染疾病 (COVID-19)的影响而大幅度缩小 (在北美市场预计减少20%),要脱离该影响要花费5年。即使如此,长期的成长趋势也没有改变,并且COVID-19对目前拥有私家电动车的富人的影响很小,因此,到2030年的单位销量前景光明。

本报告提供北美各国 (美国、加拿大)的插电式电动车 (PEV) 市场相关分析,整体市场规模趋势预测 (2030年) ,及各州、各地区 (主要大都会圈)的详细趋势,主要的推动及阻碍市场要素,今后的政策整备趋势 - 零污染车 (ZEV),充电基础设施整备另外 - 和对市场的影响等资讯汇整到,为您概述为以下内容。

目录

第1章 摘要整理

第2章 市场课题

第3章 分析方法

第4章 市场预测

  • 简介
  • 美国
    • 各州的市场预测
    • 各地区 (大都会圈)的市场预测
    • EV充电站
  • 加拿大
    • 各州的市场预测
    • EV充电站
  • 结论、建议

第5章 缩写、简称的一览

第6章 目录

第7章 图表

第8章 分析范围,资料来源,分析方法,注记

目录
Product Code: MD-EVGNA

Global sales of light duty (LD) plug-in EVs (PEVs) reached nearly 2.5 million in 2019 with a sales growth of 30% over 2018. However, 2020 may tell a different story for the light duty vehicle (LDV) market around the globe. In North America, LDV sales decreased due to the economic impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic. Guidehouse Insights anticipates LDV sales in North America to be down 20% in 2020 from 2019 levels, and even in the best-case scenario, the pandemic will have a lasting economic impact. The LDV market will likely take 5 years to fully recover.

Despite economic impacts to the LDV market, PEVs are proving to be a resilient vehicle market segment in some regions of the world, but less so in North America. In the near term, PEVs in North America are expected to see only a 5% decline from 2019, but long-term sales market share has slowed. The wealthier consumer base that currently purchases PEVs is likely to experience fewer impacts from the economic recession and still consider purchasing a vehicle, whereas other consumers may have to put their purchasing plans on hold. Given that long-term PEV sales expectations assume higher adoption from a broader group of consumers, the economic shift will likely have an impact on PEV sales through 2030.

This Guidehouse Insights report analyzes EV technology innovations, incentives, policies, and vehicle availability to forecast PEV adoption in the US and Canada on a national, state/province, and sub state/province level. Guidehouse Insights employs the Guidehouse Vehicle Adoption Simulation Tool (VAST) to create three forecast scenarios. The forecasts include passenger car (PC) and light truck (LT) breakouts, as well as powertrain breakout by plug-in hybrid EVs (PHEVs) and battery EVs (BEVs). Additionally, the report includes charging port forecasts by residential and nonresidential use cases on a national and state/province level. All forecasts have a conservative, base, and aggressive scenario.

KEY QUESTIONS ADDRESSED:

  • Which areas in North America are most likely to have the strongest penetration of plug-in EVs (PEVs)?
  • What is the projected size of the North American PEV market through 2030?
  • What are the impacts of state and regional market regulations and interventions on the market?
  • What are the emerging implications of increased PEV diffusion?
  • How will markets respond to increased PEV capability?
  • How will additional zero emissions vehicle (ZEV) policies affect PEV sales and population?
  • How will vehicle adoption affect the amount of charging infrastructure?

WHO NEEDS THIS REPORT:

  • Automobile OEM marketing managers
  • Vehicle aftermarket and service management
  • Tier One supplier marketing managers
  • EV charging equipment marketing managers
  • Electric utility management
  • State, province, and city urban planners
  • EV advocacy groups
  • Investor community

TABLE OF CONTENTS

1. Executive Summary

  • 1.1. Introduction
  • 1.2. Market Forecasts

2. Market Issues

  • 2.1. Introduction
    • 2.1.1. Scenarios and Scope
      • 2.1.1.1. Battery Pack and Fuel Prices
      • 2.1.1.2. Consumer VMT
      • 2.1.1.3. Model Availability
      • 2.1.1.4. Policy Environment

3. Methodology

  • 3.1. Vehicle Adoption Simulation Tool Model Overview
    • 3.1.1. Long-Run Market Share-Competition between Powertrains
    • 3.1.2. Fueling Infrastructure and Vehicle Adoption
    • 3.1.3. The Vehicle Sales Forecast and Model Calibration
    • 3.1.4. Geographic Specificity
  • 3.2. The VAST Charger Siting Module Overview

4. Market Forecasts

  • 4.1. Introduction
  • 4.2. US
    • 4.2.1. State Forecasts
    • 4.2.2. Sub-State Forecasts
    • 4.2.3. EV Charging Ports
  • 4.3. Canada
    • 4.3.1. Province Forecasts
    • 4.3.2. EV Charging Ports
  • 4.4. Conclusions and Recommendations

5. Acronym and Abbreviation List

6. Table of Contents

7. Table of Charts and Figures

8. Scope of Study, Sources and Methodology, Notes

LIST OF CHARTS AND FIGURES

  • LD PEV Population by Major Market, Base Scenario, North America, 2020-2030
  • LD PEV Population by Scenario, US: 2020-2030
  • LD PEV Population by Class, Base Scenario, US: 2020-2030
  • LD PEV Sales by Top 10 States, Base Scenario, US: 2030
  • LD PEV Sales by Top 10 Metropolitan Areas, Base Scenario, US: 2030
  • EV Charging Ports by Charger Type, Base Scenario, US: 2020-2030
  • LD PEV Population by Scenario, Canada: 2020-2030
  • LD PEV Population by Class, Base Scenario, Canada: 2020-2030
  • LD PEV Sales by Top 5 Provinces, Base Scenario, Canada: 2030
  • EV Charging Ports by Charger Type, Base Scenario, Canada: 2020-2030
  • VAST Systems Dynamics Innovation Diffusion Approach
  • Example of LDV Charging Port Allocation

LIST OF TABLES

  • LDV Sales by State or Province, North America: 2020-2030
  • LDV Population by State or Province, North America: 2020-2030
  • LD PEV Sales by Powertrain and Scenario, US: 2020-2030
  • LD PEV Sales by Powertrain and Scenario, Canada: 2020-2030
  • LD BEV Sales by State or Province, Conservative Scenario, North America: 2020-2030
  • LD BEV Sales by State or Province, Base Scenario, North America: 2020-2030
  • LD BEV Sales by State or Province, Aggressive Scenario, North America: 2020-2030
  • LD PHEV Sales by State or Province, Conservative Scenario, North America: 2020-2030
  • LD PHEV Sales by State or Province, Base Scenario, North America: 2020-2030
  • LD PHEV Sales by State or Province, Aggressive Scenario, North America: 2020-2030
  • LD PEV Sales by Class and Scenario, US: 2020-2030
  • LD PEV Sales by Class and Scenario, Canada: 2020-2030
  • Top 50 Largest LD PEV Sales by Metropolitan Area, Conservative Scenario, US: 2020-2030
  • Top 50 Largest LD PEV Sales by Metropolitan Area, Base Scenario, US: 2020-2030
  • Top 50 Largest LD PEV Sales by Metropolitan Area, Aggressive Scenario, US: 2020-2030
  • LD PEV Population by Powertrain and Scenario, US: 2020-2030
  • LD PEV Population by Powertrain and Scenario, Canada: 2020-2030
  • LD BEV Population by State or Province, Conservative Scenario, North America: 2020-2030
  • LD BEV Population by State or Province, Base Scenario, North America: 2020-2030
  • LD BEV Population by State or Province, Aggressive Scenario, North America: 2020-2030
  • LD PHEV Population by State or Province, Conservative Scenario, North America: 2020-2030
  • LD PHEV Population by State or Province, Base Scenario, North America: 2020-2030
  • LD PHEV Population by State or Province, Aggressive Scenario, North America: 2020-2030
  • LD PEV Population by Class and Scenario, US: 2020-2030
  • LD PEV Population by Class and Scenario, Canada: 2020-2030
  • Top 50 Largest LD PEV Populations by Metropolitan Area, Conservative Scenario, US: 2020-2030
  • Top 50 Largest LD PEV Populations by Metropolitan Area, Base Scenario, US: 2020-2030
  • Top 50 Largest LD PEV Populations by Metropolitan Area, Aggressive Scenario, US: 2020-2030
  • EV Charging Port Counts by Use Case and Scenario, US: 2020-2030
  • EV Charging Port Counts by Use Case and Scenario, Canada: 2020-2030
  • Residential EV Charging Port Counts by State or Province, Conservative Scenario, North America: 2020-2030
  • Residential EV Charging Port Counts by State or Province, Base Scenario, North America: 2020-2030
  • Residential EV Charging Port Counts by State or Province, Aggressive Scenario, North America: 2020-2030
  • Nonresidential EV Charging Port Counts by State or Province, Conservative Scenario, North America: 2020-2030
  • Nonresidential EV Charging Port Counts by State or Province, Base Scenario, North America: 2020-2030
  • Nonresidential EV Charging Port Counts by State or Province, Aggressive Scenario, North America: 2020-2030
  • EV Geographic Forecast-North America Forecast Drivers and Scenarios
  • Geographic Forecasting Area Labels and Definitions
  • BEV Lithium Ion Battery Pack Pricing, Global Average, All Scenarios: 2020 and 2030