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市场调查报告书

市场资料 - 自动驾驶车 (AD) :全球消费者取向、商业取向汽车市场预测:2020年~2030年

Market Data: Automated Driving Vehicles - Global Consumer and Commercial Market Forecasts: 2020-2030

出版商 Guidehouse Insights (formerly Navigant Research) 商品编码 934287
出版日期 内容资讯 英文 34 Pages; 52 Tables, Charts & Figures
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价格
市场资料 - 自动驾驶车 (AD) :全球消费者取向、商业取向汽车市场预测:2020年~2030年 Market Data: Automated Driving Vehicles - Global Consumer and Commercial Market Forecasts: 2020-2030
出版日期: 2020年05月04日内容资讯: 英文 34 Pages; 52 Tables, Charts & Figures
简介

2020年,长期预计是自动化车辆的普及与引进开始的转换期,不过,实际上,自动驾驶 (AD) 技术的开发与检验证实困难度超过预想。AD关联的重大技术课题,加上世界经济,起因于新型冠状病毒感染疾病 (COVID-19)的大流行,进入严重长期的景气低迷状态。到2020年的前半,世界经济多为停止著。

本报告提供具备先进的自动驾驶功能的消费者取向、商业取向汽车市场相关调查分析,市场规模的预测相关的系统性资讯。

目录

第1章 摘要整理

第2章 资料的前提条件

  • 预测整体建模
  • 消费者取向汽车市场
  • 商业服务市场

第3章 市场预测

  • 简介
  • AD全体
    • 全球预测
    • 地区的预测
  • 结论与建议

第4章 缩写和简称清单

第5章 目录

第6章 图表

第7章 调查范围,资讯来源、 调查手法,注记

目录
Product Code: MD-ADV-20

Although 2020 has long been projected as the turning point when automated vehicles start to be widely deployed and adopted, the reality is that automated driving (AD) technology has proven far more challenging to develop and validate than anticipated. In the near term, automated driving deployment will remain very limited to specific locales where it has been demonstrated to work safely and reliably and there is a demonstrated market willing to adopt the technology.

In addition to the significant technical challenges associated with AD, the global economy entered what is likely to be a severe and protracted economic downturn at the beginning of 2020 resulting from the global coronavirus pandemic. With much of the global economy shut down through the first half of 2020, companies are reevaluating their investment priorities and AD is likely to lose out to electrification. With consumers having less disposable income for the foreseeable future, buying vehicles or using ride-hailing services will also likely take a significant hit. However, even before the global health crisis, companies in the AD sector were rethinking go-to-market strategy and turning toward goods delivery rather than carrying passengers.

This Guidehouse Insights report provides projections of the size of global and regional markets for light duty consumer and commercial vehicles with highly automated driving capability. Baseline, conservative, and aggressive scenarios for market deployment are included as well as market splits among consumer, robotaxi and goods delivery vehicles. Forecasts for partially automated vehicles are also included.

KEY QUESTIONS ADDRESSED:

  • When will the first automated driving (AD) vehicles come to market?
  • How fast will annual sales grow for automated light duty consumer and commercial vehicles?
  • What effect will different levels of AD have on the global vehicle population?
  • How quickly will world regions adopt AD vehicles?
  • Which market segments will see AD adoption?

WHO NEEDS THIS REPORT:

  • Fleet managers
  • Automotive OEMs
  • Automotive industry suppliers
  • Automated driving developers
  • Mobility and transportation service platform providers and operators
  • Insurance companies
  • Government agencies
  • City managers
  • Investor community

Table of Contents

1. Executive Summary

  • 1.1. Market Overview
  • 1.2. Scope
  • 1.3. Market Forecasts

2. Data Assumptions

  • 2.1. Overall Forecast Modeling
  • 2.2. Consumer Vehicle Market
  • 2.3. Commercial Services Market

3. Market Forecasts

  • 3.1. Introduction
  • 3.2. Total AD
    • 3.2.1. Global Forecasts
      • 3.2.1.1. Effects of Remote Work
      • 3.2.1.2. Deployments and Market Penetration
      • 3.2.1.3. Commercial Services Vehicles
        • 3.2.1.3.1. Cargo and Goods Delivery Vehicles
        • 3.2.1.3.2. Passenger-Carrying Robotaxis
    • 3.2.2. Regional Forecasts
      • 3.2.2.1. North America
      • 3.2.2.2. Europe
      • 3.2.2.3. China
      • 3.2.2.4. India
      • 3.2.2.5. Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development Asia Pacific
      • 3.2.2.6. Rest of Asia Pacific
      • 3.2.2.7. Latin America
      • 3.2.2.8. Middle East & Africa
  • 3.3. Conclusions and Recommendations

4. Acronym and Abbreviation List

5. Table of Contents

6. Table of Charts and Figures

7. Scope of Study, Sources and Methodology, Notes

LIST OF CHARTS AND FIGURES

  • Annual AD Level 4+ LDV Deployments by Region, Base Scenario, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual AD Level 4+ LDV Deployments Penetration by Region, Base Scenario, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual LDV Unit Sales by Region After COVID-19 Impact, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual LDV Population by Region, Base Scenario, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual AD Level 4+ LDV Deployments by Region, Base Scenario, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual LD AD Vehicle Deployments by Level, Base Scenario, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual AD Level 4+ LDV Deployments by Region, Conservative Scenario, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual AD Level 4+ LDV Deployments by Region, Aggressive Scenario, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual LD AD Vehicle Deployments by Use Case, Base Scenario, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual AD Level 4+ LDV Cargo Revenue by Region, Base Scenario, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual AD Level 4+ LDV Robotaxi Revenue by Region, Base Scenario, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual AD Level 4+ LDV Deployments by Scenario, North America: 2020-2030
  • Annual AD Level 4+ LDV Deployments by Scenario, Europe: 2020-2030
  • Annual AD Level 4+ LDV Deployments by Scenario, China: 2020-2030
  • Annual AD Level 4+ LDV Deployments by Scenario, India: 2020-2030
  • Annual AD Level 4+ LDV Deployments by Scenario, OECD Asia Pacific: 2020-2030
  • Annual AD Level 4+ LDV Deployments by Scenario, Rest of Asia Pacific: 2020-2030
  • Annual AD Level 4+ LDV Deployments by Scenario, Latin America: 2020-2030
  • Annual AD Level 4+ LDV Deployments by Scenario, Middle East & Africa: 2020-2030

LIST OF TABLES

  • Annual LDV Unit Sales by Region After COVID-19 Impact, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual LDV Sales by Region Before COVID-19 Impact, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual AD Level 4+ LDV Deployments by Region, Base Scenario, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual AD Level 4+ LDV Deployments Penetration by Region, Base Scenario, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual LDV Population by Region, Base Scenario, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual AD Level 4+ LDV Cargo Deployments by Region, Base Scenario, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual AD Level 4+ LDV Robotaxi Deployments by Region, Base Scenario, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual AD Level 4+ LDV Consumer Deployments by Region, Base Scenario, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual AD Level 4+ LDV Cargo Revenue by Region, Base Scenario, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual AD Level 4+ LDV Robotaxi Revenue by Region, Base Scenario, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual AD Level 4+ LDV Cargo VMT by Region, Base Scenario, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual AD Level 2 LDV Sales by Region, Base Scenario, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual AD Level 4+ LDV Robotaxi VMT by Region, Base Scenario, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual AD Level 3 LDV Sales by Region, Base Scenario, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual AD Level 0-1 LDV Sales by Region, Base Scenario, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual AD Level 4+ LDV Deployments by Region, Conservative Scenario, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual AD Level 4+ LDV Deployments Penetration by Region, Conservative Scenario, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual AD Level 4+ LDV Deployments by Region, Aggressive Scenario, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual AD Level 4+ LDV Deployments Penetration by Region, Aggressive Scenario, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual AD Level 4+ LDV Deployments by Scenario, North America: 2020-2030
  • Annual AD Level 4+ LDV Deployments Penetration by Scenario, North America: 2020-2030
  • Annual AD Level 4+ LDV Deployments by Scenario, Europe: 2020-2030
  • Annual AD Level 4+ LDV Deployments Penetration by Scenario, Europe: 2020-2030
  • Annual AD Level 4+ LDV Deployments by Scenario, China: 2020-2030
  • Annual AD Level 4+ LDV Deployments Penetration by Scenario, China: 2020-2030
  • Annual AD Level 4+ LDV Deployments by Scenario, OECD Asia Pacific: 2020-2030
  • Annual AD Level 4+ LDV Deployments Penetration by Scenario, OECD Asia Pacific: 2020-2030
  • Annual AD Level 4+ LDV Deployments by Scenario, Rest of Asia Pacific: 2020-2030
  • Annual AD Level 4+ LDV Deployments Penetration by Scenario, Rest of Asia Pacific: 2020-2030
  • Annual AD Level 4+ LDV Deployments by Scenario, Latin America: 2020-2030
  • Annual AD Level 4+ LDV Deployments Penetration by Scenario, Latin America: 2020-2030
  • Annual AD Level 4+ LDV Deployments by Scenario, India: 2020-2030
  • Annual AD Level 4+ LDV Deployments Penetration by Scenario, India: 2020-2030
  • Annual AD Level 4+ LDV Deployments by Scenario, Middle East & Africa: 2020-2030
  • Annual AD Level 4+ LDV Deployments Penetration by Scenario, Middle East & Africa: 2020-2030