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市场调查报告书

全球风险分析(季度):2020年第四季度

Global Risk Report Quarterly Update - Q4 2020

出版商 MarketLine 商品编码 997932
出版日期 内容资讯 英文 63 Pages
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价格
全球风险分析(季度):2020年第四季度 Global Risk Report Quarterly Update - Q4 2020
出版日期: 2021年03月24日内容资讯: 英文 63 Pages
简介

根据MarketLine发布的最新版本的国家风险指数(MLCRI),截至2020年第四季度,瑞士排名最高,其次是新加坡和丹麦。根据该报告,有28个国家被划为超低风险区,有22个国家被划为低风险区,有36个国家被划为可控风险,有39个国家被划为高风险区,有11个国家被划为超高风险区。是。

在本报告中,根据MLCRI(MarketLine国家风险指数)的分析内容,利用了最新的宏觀经济方法和国内外统计数据,以及世界各国的政治,社会和技术方面。我们使用定性和定量方法衡量环境和法律风险,并考虑全球经济面临的挑战和潜在风险。

目录

目录

世界概览:主要亮点

世界概览:摘要

闪回(2020年3月至2021年2月)

即将发生的重大事件(2022年3月2021年2月)

MLCRI(国家风险指数):国家排名

  • MLCRI:热图(2020年第4季度)
  • MLCRI:世界形势(2021)

冠状病毒感染(COVID-19):主要风险和恢复过程

  • 感染率:缓慢但持续增加
  • 增长预测(2020/2021):主要宏觀经济指标
  • 商业情绪/消费者情绪趋势
  • 随著美国生产复苏放缓,原油价格正在上涨
  • 主要国家的预算赤字和债务水平扩大,经济刺激措施支出巨大
  • COVID-19对劳动力市场的影响

市场线经济复苏记分卡

区域分析

  • 区域分析:亚太地区
  • 区域分析:欧洲
  • 区域分析:美洲
  • 区域分析:中东/非洲

分析方法和来源

目录
Product Code: MLER0012GLBRSK

Summary

Global Risk Report is based on MarketLine Country Risk Index (MLCRI) which is a unique country risk-rating model that determines the existing and future level of country risk by assessing various qualitative and quantitative factors. The index is formulated to help firms prepare their global business strategies on the basis of historical developments in an economy and also their future expectations.

The Country Risk Index incorporates the latest available macroeconomics, political, social, technological, environmental and legal data from a range of recognized national and international statistical sources, and incorporates proprietary data from MarketLine Economics Research. The model also features expert analytical judgment from in-house economists and takes into account their insights and opinions. By applying a robust approach to assessing risk, MarketLine analysts ensure that strategists have an effective tool to assess current trends and risks facing the economies across the globe.

The twelfth update version of MarketLine Country Risk Index (MLCRI) Q4 2020 ranks Switzerland at the top followed by Singapore and Denmark. 28 countries were identified in the very low risk zone, 22 countries in the low-risk zone, 36 countries under manageable risk, 39 countries under high risk and 11 countries in the very high-risk zone in MLCRI Q4 2020.

Scope

  • In Asia-Pacific, the risk score stood at 42.2 in Q4 2020, compared to 51.4 in Q2 2020, making it the second lowest risk region. A recovery in the purchasing managers' index (PMI) for manufacturing has been witnessed in most APAC nations, along with a gradual recovery in global demand. An uptick in retail trade and growing demand for e-commerce helped the APAC economies recover in H2 2020.
  • The European region remained the lowest risk region in the Q4 2020 update of the global risk index, owing to its strong macroeconomic fundamentals. When the coronavirus pandemic was at its peak, the European nations were able to control its spread and the risks associated with the pandemic through sufficient control measures enforced in a timely manner.
  • The Americas is the second highest risk region, according to the MLCRI Q4 2020 update, with a regional risk score of 47.6 out of 100. The whole region was battered by the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020. Out of the top 15 worst affected countries, five are part of the Americas. The health crisis has led to a precipitous rise in poverty and social instability in the region, led by high unemployment.
  • The Middle East and Africa (MEA) is the highest risk region according to the MLCRI 2020 Q4 update, with a regional risk score of 51.4 out of 100, down compared to 55.6 in the MLCRI 2020 Q2 update and up compared to 48.8 in the MLCRI 2019 Q4 update. The region continues to be plagued by social conflict and geopolitical turmoil.

Reasons to Buy

  • Global Risk Report is based on MarketLine Country Risk Index (MLCRI) which is a unique country risk-rating model that determines the existing and future level of country risk by assessing various qualitative and quantitative factors. The index is formulated to help firms prepare their global business strategies on the basis of historical developments in an economy and also their future expectations.
  • The Country Risk Index incorporates the latest available macroeconomics, political, social, technological, environmental and legal data from a range of recognized national and international statistical sources, and incorporates proprietary data from MarketLine Economics Research. The model also features expert analytical judgment from in-house economists and takes into account their insights and opinions. By applying a robust approach to assessing risk, MarketLine analysts ensure that strategists have an effective tool to assess current trends and risks facing the economies across the globe.

Table of Contents

Global Overview - Key Highlights

Global Overview - Summary

Flashback - March 2020 to February 2021

Key Events - March 2021 to February 2022

MLCRI - Country Ranking

MLCRI Q4 2020 Heat Map

MLCRI - Global Landscape 2021

COVID-19 - Major Risks and Recovery

Infection rates continue to rise albeit at a slower pace

Growth forecast for 2020 and 2021: Key Macroeconomic Indicators

Business and consumer sentiments trends

Oil prices rise amid slow US output recovery

Increasing deficit and debt levels in major economies with huge spending on stimulus

COVID-19 impact on the labor market

MarketLine's economic recovery scorecard

Regional Analysis

Regional Analysis - Asia-Pacific

Regional Analysis - Europe

Regional Analysis - Americas

Regional Analysis - Middle East and Africa

Methodology and Sources