量子计算：全球市场的未来预测（未来7年）

本报告分析了全球量子计算市场的未来趋势，概述了技术，主要应用领域，技术发展和传播的趋势和未来方向，市场的基本结构和推广。抑制因素，主要应用领域，整体市场规模趋势展望（未来7年的金额/数量基准），按技术/最终用户/供应商国籍，云端访问/软件收入划分的详细趋势我们正在调查和估计主要供应商/最终用户的预测和概述。

目录

第1章简介

• 本报告的背景
  • 量子计算的现状
  • "量子优势" 之后会发生什么
  • 新的潜在市场和应用领域
• 量子计算：市场的转折点
  • 量子计算的三个转折点
• 分析方法
• 分析概要

第2章量子计算技术和产品

• 硬件：Quantum Machine/Annieler/Classic Machine
• 量子退火仪
  • 两种退火器
  • 退火过程
  • 使用退火器
  • 退火的未来
• 超导量子位
• 离子阱式计算机
  • 离子阱型计算机的工作方式
  • 离子阱型计算机：供应商和市场潜力
• 旋转离子计算机
• 拓扑量子计算机
• 光子计算机
  • 光子学（光学工程）和量子位
  • 光子计算机的未来
• Quantum计算机软件：算法，编程，错误保护
• 量子计算应用软件市场中的抑制因素
  • 与核心技术相关的局限性
  • "量子优势" 的时限
  • 纠错的作用
• 量子计算机的性能测量
  • 量子计算机近年来实现的重要里程碑
  • ORNL的业务
  • 量子位数的重要性
  • 量子体积
• 商业化模式和潜在客户
  • 直接购买
  • 云端访问
• 结论

第3章量子计算机市场

• 量子计算的应用领域
  • 模拟
  • 优化问题
  • 人工智能（AI）
• 炒作和商业案例
• 量子计算在金融业中的使用
  • Barclays
  • BBVA
  • Citigroup
  • Commonwealth Bank of Australia
  • Goldman Sachs
  • HSBC
  • JPMorgan Chase
  • NatWest
  • Nomura Securities
  • Standard Chartered
  • UBS
  • Wells Fargo
• 航空航天/国防
  • Airbus
  • Boeing
  • Lockheed Martin
  • NASA
  • Raytheon
• 用于运输机械和汽车行业的量子计算
  • BMW
  • Daimler-Benz
  • Ford
  • Quantum Computing at Toyota and DENSO
  • Volkswagen
• 材料和药理学设计
  • 药物发现
  • 毒性测试
  • 神经病学
  • 蛋白质折叠的模拟
  • 新的超导材料
  • Biogen与Accenture
  • DowDuPont
  • IBM
  • Menten AI
  • WuXi NextCODE Genetics
• 规划和一般管理中的量子计算
  • Save-on-Foods
  • 网页搜索
• 医学量子计算
  • Bayer与Atos
• 政府和军事
• 按区域进行量子计算
  • 欧洲
  • 中国
  • 日本

第4章量子计算机制造商和其他著名公司

• 量子计算机硬件领域的著名公司
• Alibaba (中国)
• D-Wave (加拿大)
• Google (美国)
• HITACHI
• Honeywell (美国)
• IBM (美国)
• Intel (美国)
• IonQ (美国)
• Microsoft (美国)
• PsiQuantum
• QuTech
• Rigetti Computing (美国)
• Xanadu (加拿大)

This report is the first publicly available forecast of quantum computers in volume and value terms. The report examines the current activities of quantum computer companies around the world around the world and builds a forecast of both production and install base in both volume and value terms with breakouts by technology, end-user type and vendor nationality. There are also forecasts of cloud access revenues and software.

The report begins with a survey of the evolution of quantum computing technologies and products. The focus is on today's "supercomputer class" quantum computers. However, the report also briefly discusses the likelihood of the evolution of "desktop quantum computers." The report also surveys around 30 end-user companies that are already trialing quantum computers for internal use.

Table of Contents

Chapter One: Introduction

• 1.1 Background to this Report
  • 1.1.1 The Current State of Quantum Computers
  • 1.1.2 What to Expect after "Quantum Advantage"
  • 1.1.3 Emerging Potential Market Applications
• 1.2 Quantum Computing: Market Inflection Points
  • 1.2.1 The Next Three Inflection Points for Quantum Computing
• 1.3 Methodology of this Report
• 1.4 Plan of this Report

Chapter Two: Quantum Computing Technologies and Products

• 2.1 Hardware: Quantum Machines versus Annealers versus Classical Machines
• 2.2 Quantum Annealers
  • 2.2.1 Two Types of Annealers
  • 2.2.2 Annealing Process
  • 2.2.3 Applications for Annealers
  • 2.2.4 The Future of Annealing
• 2.3 Superconducting Qubits
• 2.4 Trapped Ion Computers
  • 2.4.1 How Trapped Ion Computers Work
  • 2.4.2 Trapped Ion Computers: Vendors and Future in the Marketplace
• 2.5 Spin Ion Computers
• 2.6 Topological Quantum Computers
• 2.7 Photonic Quantum Computers
  • 2.7.1 Photonics and Qubits
  • 2.7.2 The Future of Photonic Quantum Computers
• 2.8 Software for Quantum Computers: Algorithms, Programming and Error Protection
• 2.9 Factors Retarding the Market for Quantum Computing Applications and Software
  • 2.9.1 Limitations due to Core Technologies
  • 2.9.2 Timeframe for Quantum Advantage
  • 2.9.3 The Role of Error Correction
• 2.10 Performance Measures for Quantum Computers
  • 2.10.1 Key Milestones Achieved by Quantum Computers in Recent Years
  • 2.10.2 Work at Oak Ridge (ORNL)
  • 2.10.3 How Important is the Number of Qubits?
  • 2.10.4 Quantum Volume
• 2.11 Commercialization Models and Potential Clients
  • 2.11.1 Direct Purchase
  • 2.11.2 Cloud Access
• 2.12 Key Points from this Chapter

Chapter Three: Markets for Quantum Computers

• 3.1 Quantum Computing Applications
  • 3.1.1 Simulations
  • 3.1.2 Optimization Problems
  • 3.1.3 Artificial Intelligence
• 3.2 Of Hype and Business Cases
• 3.3 Financial Industry Use of Quantum Computing
  • 3.3.1 Barclays
  • 3.3.2 BBVA
  • 3.3.3 Citigroup
  • 3.3.4 Commonwealth Bank of Australia
  • 3.3.5 Goldman Sachs
  • 3.3.6 HSBC
  • 3.3.7 JPMorgan Chase
  • 3.3.8 NatWest
  • 3.3.9 Nomura Securities
  • 3.3.10 Standard Chartered
  • 3.3.11 UBS
  • 3.3.12 Wells Fargo
• 3.4 Aerospace and Defense
  • 3.4.1 Airbus
  • 3.4.2 Boeing
  • 3.4.3 Lockheed Martin
  • 3.4.4 NASA
  • 3.4.5 Raytheon
• 3.5 Quantum Computing for Transportation and the Automotive Industry
  • 3.5.1 BMW
  • 3.5.2 Daimler-Benz
  • 3.5.3 Ford
  • 3.5.4 Quantum Computing at Toyota and DENSO
  • 3.5.5 Volkswagen
• 3.6 Materials and Pharmaceutical Design
  • 3.6.1 Drug Discovery
  • 3.6.2 Toxicity Studies
  • 3.6.3 Neuromedicine
  • 3.6.4 Protein Folding Simulation
  • 3.6.5 Novel Superconducting Materials
  • 3.6.6 Biogen and Accenture
  • 3.6.7 DowDuPont
  • 3.6.8 IBM
  • 3.6.9 Menten AI
  • 3.6.10 WuXi NextCODE Genetics
• 3.7 Quantum Computing in Planning and General Management
  • 3.7.1 Save-on-Foods
  • 3.7.2 Web Searching
• 3.8 Quantum Computing in Healthcare
  • 3.8.1 Bayer and Atos
• 3.9 Government and Military
• 3.10 Quantum Computing by Region
  • 3.10.2 Europe
  • 3.10.3 China
  • 3.10.4 Japan

Chapter Four: Quantum Computer Manufacturers and Other Notable Companies

• 4.1 Firms to Watch in the Quantum Computer Hardware Space
• 4.2 Alibaba (China)
• 4.3 D-Wave (Canada)
  • 4.3.1 D-Wave Qubits
  • 4.3.2 Real Customers and Cloud Access
• 4.4 Google (United States)
  • 4.4.1 Sycamore
  • 4.4.2 Google AI
  • 4.4.3 Google's Future in Quantum Computing
• 4.5 Hitachi
• 4.6 Honeywell (United States)
  • 4.6.1 The Honeywell Quantum Computer
  • 4.6.2 Honeywell Quantum Software
• 4.7 IBM (United States)
  • 4.7.1 IBM Research and Development
• 4.8 Intel (United States)
  • 4.8.1 Quantum Development Timeline
  • 4.8.2 Collaborations
• 4.9 IonQ (United States)
  • 4.9.1 The IonQ Computer
• 4.10 Microsoft (United States)
  • 4.10.1 Microsoft's Distinctive Approach
• 4.11 PsiQuantum
• 4.12 QuTech
• 4.13 Rigetti Computing (United States)
  • 4.13.1 Aspen-7 and Ancestor Machines
  • 4.13.2 Current Partnerships
  • 4.13.3 QxBranch Acquisition
• 4.14 Xanadu (Canada)

List of Exhibits

• Exhibit 1-1: Milestones and Timeframe in Quantum Computing Future History
• Exhibit 1-2: Key Inflection Points for Quantum Computing Applications
• Exhibit 2-1: Quantum Machines versus Annealers versus Classical Machines
• Exhibit 2-2: Types of Qubit versus Firms Building Computers Based on Them
• Exhibit 2-3: Key Milestones Achieved by Quantum Computers
• Exhibit 3-1: Uses of Quantum Computers by End-User Group and Applications
• Exhibit 3-2: Quantum Computer Functionality by Type of End User
• Exhibit 3-3: Potential Uses for Quantum Computers in Aerospace and Defense
• Exhibit 4-1: Ten Firms to Watch in the Quantum Computing Space

SEVEN-YEAR FORECAST APPENDIX (Excel Spreadsheet)

Tab 1: Companies - Forecasts of quantum computer install base, computer produced and hours of cloud access provided by leading vendors

Tab 2: Hardware - Forecasts of quantum computers by technology type and end-user industry

Tab 3: Access (Cloud Services) - Forecasts of cloud services by technology type and end-user industry

Tab 4: Software (Third-party) - Forecasts of third-party software by type of computer and end-user industry

Tab 5: Countries - Forecasts of quantum computers, software, and cloud services by major countries and regions

Tab 6: Forecast Summary