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市场调查报告书

印度的宏觀经济增长机会:到2030年的预测

Macroeconomic Growth Opportunities in India, Forecast to 2030

出版商 Frost & Sullivan 商品编码 943715
出版日期 内容资讯 英文 37 Pages
商品交期: 最快1-2个工作天内
价格
印度的宏觀经济增长机会:到2030年的预测 Macroeconomic Growth Opportunities in India, Forecast to 2030
出版日期: 2020年06月04日内容资讯: 英文 37 Pages
简介

与其他国家一样,印度也受到新型冠状病毒传染病(COVID-19)大流行的影响,尽管经济增长在2020年可能会放缓,但其未来前景是好亮到2020年,印度的GDP增长将降至1%左右,但预计2030年将成为世界GDP的第四大国。随著大城市已经饱和,未来的重点将转移到小城市,这将在印度的持续增长和发展中发挥重要作用。在印度,劳动年龄人口正在增加,在这方面也有很大的潜力。

本报告调查了印度的宏觀经济增长机会,并分析了COVID-19的经济影响,其长期经济增长潜力和增长机会。

内容

执行摘要

  • 印度的未来:十大预测

调查范围

  • 调查范围

Covid-19的经济影响

  • Covid-19对印度的影响
  • 印度动荡的影响度以及复苏的方面

印度的长期经济增长机会

  • 到2030年,成为世界第四大经济体
  • 马哈拉施特拉邦的经济在2028年首次达到印度的1万亿美元
  • 中小城市正在成为快速发展的经济的更大贡献者
  • 到2026年印度的工作年龄人口将超过中国
  • 从2015年到2030年,老年人口增长1.5倍
  • Z和Y世代(千禧一代)占印度人口的50%以上
  • 中等收入家庭的比例从2018年的53.9%增加到2030年的77.7%
  • 越来越多的富人
  • 商业数字化的进展
  • 印度仍然是领先的社交媒体市场
  • 到2025年将创业公司数量增加三倍,促进经济转型

增长机会

  • 增长机会

结论

  • 主要结论
  • 免责声明

附录

  • 图表列表

关于Frost & Sullivan

目录
Product Code: 9AE5/2A

The Likelihood of India Becoming the Fourth-largest Economy, with an 80% Middle-class Household Share, Creates Significant Business Potential

India is, no doubt, reeling from the impact of the Covid-19 pandemic, as is the rest of the world. Beyond the growth slowdown in 2020, India's long-term macroeconomic prospects still remain bright.

This research examines India's long-term macroeconomic outlook and sheds light on growth opportunities that Indian and global businesses could tap into.

While 2020 GDP growth is expected to slip to about 1%, India will nonetheless climb the economic ladder thereafter to become the 4th largest economy globally by 2030 in terms of GDP size. Accelerated structural reforms can also make India the fourth-largest economy. With metros near saturation, Tier II and Tier III Indian cities will play a pivotal role in shaping India's growth and development in the next decade. More economic and business opportunities are expected to emerge from these cities over the next few years. In addition, businesses can also look forward to a booming Indian middle class which will strengthen the economy. The luxury market stands to benefit from the high growth of millionaires in India. Tier II and Tier III cities will see a rise in the demand for wealth-management services.

Companies operating in India can tap into opportunities tied to India's population structure. The size and market share of the Indian working-age population are expected to grow, in contrast to a decline in China. Systematic training and education of India's growing workforce would directly serve the growth of Indian businesses and industries. While the size of India's elderly population is expected to grow by nearly 1.5 times between 2015 and 2030, there are major gaps in senior living real estate and geriatric care that companies could explore.

A large portion of the financial transactions in the Indian economy is expected to be digital in the next five years, enabling India to transition from its status as a cash-based economy to being a digital economy. As India leads social media usage, the rapid uptick in usage and relatively low social media penetration rates offer several business opportunities to social media companies.

Key Issues Addressed:

  • What are some of the key growth opportunities that companies can look forward to beyond Covid-19?
  • What will the Indian economy look like in 2030?
  • How will state-wise GDP evolve in the next ten years?
  • What is the outlook for India's working-age population?
  • How will India's elderly population grow over the next ten years and what are the untapped opportunities?
  • What will India's middle-class market share look like in the next decade?
  • Why should companies focus on Tier II and Tier III cities for growth and expansion?
  • What is the outlook for start-up growth in India?
  • What is the outlook for digital payments in India?

Table of Contents

Executive Summary

  • Future of India: Top 10 Predictions

Research Scope

  • Research Scope

India and Covid-19 Economic Impact

  • Covid-19 Impact on India
  • Length and Depth of India's Disruption and Shape of Recovery

India Long-term Economic Growth Opportunities

  • India to Become the Fourth-largest Economy by 2030
  • Maharashtra to Become India's First Trillion-dollar Economy by 2028
  • Tier II and Tier III Cities to Emerge as Larger Contributors to Booming Economy
  • India's Working-age Population Size to Overshoot China's by 2026
  • Elderly Population to Grow by 1.5 Times between 2015 and 2030
  • Gen Z and Gen Y (Millennials) Together Account for More than 50% of India's Population
  • Share of Middle Income Households to Rise from 53.9% in 2018 to 77.7% by 2030
  • Millionaires to Grow from 343,075 in 2018 to Nearly 750,000 by 2025
  • 4 out 5 Transactions to be Possibly Made Digitally by 2025
  • India to Continue Being a Leading Social Media Market
  • 4X Growth in Start-Up Numbers by 2025 to Help Drive Economic Transformation

Growth Opportunities

  • Growth Opportunities

The Last Word

  • Key Conclusions
  • Legal Disclaimer

Appendix

  • List of Exhibits

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