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市场调查报告书

全球经济预测

Global Economic Outlook, 2019

出版商 Frost & Sullivan 商品编码 489312
出版日期 内容资讯 英文 77 Pages
商品交期: 最快1-2个工作天内
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全球经济预测 Global Economic Outlook, 2019
出版日期: 2019年01月18日内容资讯: 英文 77 Pages
简介

全球GDP成长率,由国际贸易的活跃和投资扩大,强力的国内需求支撑,以一定速度持续成长。2017年的成长率3.6%,2018年预计达到3.7%。带给全球经济负面影响的主要事件,有英国脱离EU(Brexit) ,及海灣国家的增值税 (VAT) 引进等,不过,其影响预计停留在很有限的规模。

本报告提供全球各地的景气趋势的现况与展望的相关调查,全球整体的GDP、通货膨胀率、石油生产量等趋势预测,及各地区、主要国家详细趋势,近来的全球的事件、灾害的影响度,自由贸易协定 (FTA:北美自由贸易组织(NAFTA),TPP等) 带给各国经济的影响等分析。

第1章 摘要整理

  • 主要的经济趋势 (2017年)
  • 主要的经济预测 (2018年)
  • 经济预测 -已开发国家 (2018年)
  • 经济预测 -新兴国家 (2018年)
  • 全球GDP成长率:概要
  • (2017~2018年)全球经济成长率前20名国家

第2章 分析范围

第3章 全球经济的未来展望 (2018年)

  • GDP成长率预测
  • 通货膨胀率预测
  • 贸易趋势预测
  • 投资趋势预测
  • 石油生产量预测:OPEC加盟国/其他

第4章 地域经济的未来展望 (2018年):北美

  • GDP成长率预测 (2018年):美国、加拿大
  • 主要的经济趋势
  • 北美经济的未来展望 (2018年)第:5项主要的预测

第5章 地域经济的未来展望 (2018年):南美

  • GDP成长率预测 (2018年):巴西、墨西哥
  • GDP成长率预测 (2018年):哥伦比亚、巴拿马
  • 主要的经济趋势
  • 南美经济的未来展望 (2018年)第:5项主要的预测

第6章 地域经济的未来展望 (2018年):非洲

  • GDP成长率预测 (2018年):坦尚尼亚、肯亚
  • GDP成长率预测 (2018年):南非、辛巴威
  • 主要的经济趋势
  • 非洲经济的未来展望 (2018年)第:5项主要的预测

第7章 地域经济的未来展望 (2018年):欧洲

  • GDP成长率预测 (2018年):德国、义大利
  • GDP成长率预测 (2018年):英国、法国
  • Brexit (英国脱欧)的影响度分析
  • 主要的经济趋势
  • 非洲经济的未来展望 (2018年)第:5项主要的预测

第8章 地域经济的未来展望 (2018年):中东

  • GDP成长率预测 (2018年):UAE、沙乌地阿拉伯
  • GDP成长率预测 (2018年):卡达、伊朗
  • 波灣合作理事会 (GCC) 各国的财政重建与经济多样化
  • 主要的经济趋势
  • 非洲经济的未来展望 (2018年)第:5项主要的预测

第9章 地域经济的未来展望 (2018年):亚太地区

  • GDP成长率预测 (2018年):中国、印度
  • GDP成长率预测 (2018年):日本、东南亚国协
  • 主要的经济趋势
  • 亚太地区经济的未来展望 (2018年)第:5项主要的预测

第10章 成长机会及值得注意的企业

  • 成长机会

第11章 主要结论

第12章 附录

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目录
Product Code: PA4A

World GDP Growth to Weaken from 3.7% in 2018 to 3.5% to 2019, With Intensified Trade Wars to Pull Down 2019 Growth Further to 3.3%

What is the outlook for the world economy in 2019? How will events such as Brexit and trade wars influence the global economic outlook? This analysis has been designed to answer these questions and more by providing a concise summary of key global and regional economic developments and forecasts. Regions covered as part of the study include North America, Latin America, Africa, Europe, the Middle East, and Asia-Pacific. Each regional economic outlook section focuses on the GDP growth outlook for key economies, impact analysis of key economic developments, and top economic predictions.

Although global GDP growth was steady in 2018, the growth is expected to dip in 2019 in the light of factors such as trade tensions, interest rate hikes, and emerging market capital outflows. A major risk to the global economic growth is the intensification of trade wars in 2019, with trade war escalation to pull down GDP growth further than projected. Apart from the United States and China that are experiencing the direct negative effects of the trade wars, major economies such as Germany and Japan are also at risk owing to indirect effects from the US-China trade wars. This study factors in three likely trade war scenarios for 2019, namely the continuation scenario, the intensification scenario, and the conclusion scenario, with the continuation scenario (continuation of tariffs imposed in 2018) carrying the highest probability of occurrence at present. Consequently, 2019 projections have been developed based on the continuation scenario (unless otherwise mentioned).

The last few weeks of 2018 saw several major developments that will have important ratifications on the 2019 economic outlook, such as the finalization of the Brexit withdrawal agreement and the decision of the OPEC to pursue production cuts in 2019. This report factors the implications of these and other events on the global economy as well as on specific concerned countries. Business can leverage this study to understand growth trajectories and the implications of economic developments, and thereby better plan and strategize for 2019. The base year for the report is 2017, with estimates for 2018, and forecasts for 2019.

Key Issues Addressed:

  • What are the top 2019 global economic predictions?
  • What were the top 2018 global economic trends?
  • What are the top 2019 predictions for key advanced and emerging economies?
  • What is the world GDP growth snapshot for 2017-2019?
  • What is the economic outlook for North America, Latin America, Africa, Europe, the Middle East, and Asia-Pacific?
  • What are the key global economic risks for 2019?
  • How will major events such as Brexit and trade wars influence the world economy?
  • What is the trade war scenario-based outlook for world GDP growth and trade growth?
  • What is the 2019 outlook for oil supply, demand, and prices?
  • What major economic policy changes could businesses expect in 2019?

Table of Contents

1. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

  • Top 2018 Global Economic Trends
  • Top 2019 Global Economic Predictions
  • Top 2019 Global Economic Predictions (continued)
  • Top 2019 Predictions-Advanced Economies
  • Top 2019 Predictions-Emerging Economies
  • World GDP Growth Snapshot
  • Top 2019 Predictions-Regional Economic Outlook
  • World's 20 Fastest Growing Economies in 2018 and 2019

2. RESEARCH SCOPE

  • Research Scope

3. 2019 GLOBAL ECONOMIC OUTLOOK

  • GDP Growth Outlook
  • Trade Outlook
  • Global Trade Developments
  • Inflation Outlook
  • Oil Supply, Demand, and Price Outlook

4. 2019 REGIONAL ECONOMIC OUTLOOK-NORTH AMERICA

  • 2019 Economic Outlook-The United States and Canada
  • Key Economic Developments
  • Key Economic Developments (continued)
  • 2019 North America Economic Outlook-Top Predictions

5. 2019 REGIONAL ECONOMIC OUTLOOK-LATIN AMERICA

  • 2019 GDP Growth Outlook-Brazil and Mexico
  • 2019 GDP Growth Outlook-Colombia and Argentina
  • 2019 GDP Growth Outlook-Venezuela
  • Key Economic Developments
  • 2019 Latin America Economic Outlook-Top Predictions

6. 2019 REGIONAL ECONOMIC OUTLOOK-AFRICA

  • 2019 GDP Growth Outlook-Tanzania and Kenya
  • 2019 GDP Growth Outlook-South Africa and Nigeria
  • Key Economic Developments
  • 2019 Africa Economic Outlook-Top Predictions

7. 2019 REGIONAL ECONOMIC OUTLOOK-EUROPE

  • 2019 Economic Outlook-Germany and the United Kingdom
  • 2019 Economic Outlook-Italy and France
  • 2019 Economic Outlook-Russia
  • Key Economic Developments
  • 2019 Europe Economic Outlook-Top Predictions

8. 2019 REGIONAL ECONOMIC OUTLOOK-MIDDLE EAST

  • 2019 Economic Outlook-Saudi Arabia and Qatar
  • 2019 Economic Outlook-Qatar and Turkey
  • Key Economic Developments
  • 2019 Middle East Economic Outlook-Top Predictions

9. 2019 REGIONAL ECONOMIC OUTLOOK-ASIA-PACIFIC

  • 2019 Economic Outlook-China and India
  • 2019 Economic Outlook-Japan and Indonesia
  • 2019 Economic Outlook-Australia
  • Key Economic Developments
  • 2019 Asia-Pacific Economic Outlook-Top Predictions

10. GROWTH OPPORTUNITIES AND COMPANIES TO ACTION

  • Growth Opportunities
  • Growth Opportunities (continued)

11. KEY CONCLUSIONS

  • Key Conclusions
  • Legal Disclaimer

12. APPENDIX

  • Data Tables-World
  • Data Tables-Advanced Economies and Emerging Market & Developing Economies
  • Data Tables-North America
  • Data Tables-Latin America
  • Data Tables-Africa
  • Data Tables-Europe
  • Data Tables-Middle East
  • Data Tables-Asia-Pacific
  • Abbreviations and Acronyms Used
  • Additional Sources of Information on the 2019 Global Economic Outlook
  • Market Engineering Methodology
  • List of Exhibits
  • List of Exhibits (continued)
  • List of Exhibits (continued)
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