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年间契约型资讯服务

世界能源市场预测

Global Energy Forecasts: EnerFuture

出版商 ENERDATA 商品编码 204521
出版日期 年间契约型资讯服务 内容资讯 英文
价格
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世界能源市场预测 Global Energy Forecasts: EnerFuture
出版日期: 年间契约型资讯服务内容资讯: 英文
简介

此在线数据库使用 Enerdata 的独特专业知识和世界闻名的POLES模型来提供到2050年的全球能源预测。该服务提供了有关国家和地区各级能源需求,电力生产,价格,能源和行业温室气体排放的未来的清晰见解。

为什么要订阅此服务

  • 到2050年的年度能源需求,价格和排放预测
  • 截至2018年的历史数据-最新可用数据
  • 所有能源的详细预测
  • 石油,天然气和煤炭国际价格演变的洞察力分析
  • 按行业划分的市场前景
  • 按全球规模,地区和国家进行的能源市场评估
  • 三种截然不同的能源与气候变化情景
  • 考虑区域平衡的一致的全球市场预测
  • 交互式且用户友好的界面

此服务的主要特征和功能

  • 覆盖全球超过65个国家和地区
  • 截至2018年的年度数据
  • 到2050年全球能源市场的年度预测
  • 石油,天然气和煤炭国际价格的演变分析
  • 按行业和能源分类的需求/价格预测
  • 最终能源需求中电气化进度的指标
  • 按行业预测的温室气体排放量
  • 每个国家的概况和排名
  • 每5年预测一次电力混合(发电量/技术发电量)
  • 三个详细的方案显示了对技术发展,低碳能源和化石燃料供应的不同看法
  • 需求,CO2,REN指标
  • 促进宏觀经济的因素分析
  • .csv格式的数据导出功能,用于与您自己的数据库或模型集成

输出数据

  • 能源/温室气体排放趋势:石油,天然气,煤炭,电力,生物质,温室气体排放
  • 需求趋势:总需求,部门需求和最终能源需求中电气化进度的指标
  • 发电状态:按能源类型划分的发电和发电能力:化石能源,核能,自然能(风能,太阳能等)
  • 部门数据:发电,工业,运输,住房/服务/农业
  • 价格信息:国际能源价格

POLES模型

长期能源系统的觀点

POLES 模型是国际认可的技术和经济模型。每年进行一次模拟,对能源□□价格进行内生预测。它提供了大量能源矢量,相关技术和温室气体排放的能源供应/需求的完整统计信息,从而可以对可能的碳约束水平,能源或技术假设进行自定义和建模。我会。

目录

Global, Regional & Country-level Energy and Emissions

Forecasts through 2050 - Including Non-OECD Countries

Based on the globally recognised POLES Model, EnerFuture is used by energy companies, consultancies & governments for strategic planning and policy evaluation.

EnerFuture provides annual projections through 2050, offering clear insight into future energy demand, prices and GHG emissions by energy source or by sector, at the country and regional levels.

EnerFuture brings a consistent set of data on the factors that will impact and shape the future of energy, including energy markets, macro-economy, and long-term climate policies.

Use EnerFuture to anticipate evolutions in your environment and build the appropriate business strategies.

Why Subscribe?

  • Annual energy demand, prices & emissions projections through 2050
  • Historical data through 2018 - the latest available figures
  • Detailed projections for all energy sources
  • Insightful analyses of the evolution of international oil, gas and coal prices
  • Forecasts categorized by sector
  • Global, regional or country views
  • Three contrasted energy and climate scenarios
  • Consistency in global forecasts by means of regional balances
  • Interactive, user-friendly interface
  • Annual data and scenario updates

Features Overview:

  • Global coverage (65+ countries/aggregates)
  • Annual historical data through 2018
  • Annual projections of the global energy market through 2050
  • Analysis of the evolution of international oil, gas and coal prices
  • Demand and price forecasts by sector and energy source
  • Indicator on the degree of electrification of the final energy demand
  • GHG emissions forecasts by sector
  • Country snapshots and ranking
  • Power mix forecasts (capacities and production by technology) in five-year steps
  • Three detailed scenarios offering contrasting views on technology development, low-carbon energy sources and fossil fuel supply
  • Demand, CO2 and REN indicators
  • Macroeconomic drivers
  • Data export in .csv format to integrate with your own databases and models

EnerFuture Scenarios

Updated annually to take into account recent events.

Ener-Base

  • Lack of support for GHG emission mitigation, affecting the entire energy system over a long period.
  • Energy demand increases globally, driven by economic and population growth.
  • Technological advances and fuel diversification (namely a moderate renewable expansion) slightly curtail the impact on emissions.
  • +5°C to +6°C temp. increase

Ener-Blue

  • Based on the successful achievement of the 2030 NDCs announced in the 2015 Paris agreement and since revised.
  • Sustained growth in emerging countries is a powerful driver of global energy demand, but NDCs play a key role in controlling the pace of growth.
  • +3°C to +4°C temp. increase

Ener-Green

  • More stringent climate policies than currently in place
  • Countries fulfil NDCs and regularly revise emissions goals
  • Ambitious climate trajectories specific to each region, built using a new methodology incorporate effort-sharing regulations.
  • Significant improvements in energy efficiency & renewables
  • +2°C temp. increase

Outputs:

  • Energies/Emissions: oil, gas, coal, electricity, biomass and GHG emissions (6 Kyoto gases)
  • Demand: Total demand and demand by sector. Indicator on the degree of electrification of the final energy demand
  • Power: Production and capacities by energy type: fossil energies, nuclear, renewables (wind, solar, etc.)
  • Sector: Power production, industry, transport and residential/services/ agriculture
  • Prices: International energy price

The POLES Model

Prospective Outlook on Long-term Energy Systems

The POLES Model is an internationally recognized techno-economic model. The simulation occurs on a year-to-year basis, with endogenous projection of energy prices. It provides a complete accounting of energy demand/supply of numerous energy vectors, associated technologies and greenhouse gases emissions, and enables the customization and modeling of possible carbon constraints levels, energy resources or technological assumptions.

The POLES Model

Prospective Outlook on Long-term Energy Systems

The POLES Model is an internationally recognized techno-economic model. The simulation occurs on a year-to-year basis, with endogenous projection of energy prices. It provides a complete accounting of energy demand/supply of numerous energy vectors, associated technologies and greenhouse gases emissions, and enables the customization and modeling of possible carbon constraints levels, energy resources or technological assumptions.

Features of POLES

  • Disaggregation into 15 energy demand sectors
  • Energy supply: Identification of key market suppliers for oil and gas
  • Oil and gas sectors: Discoveries and reserves for 87 producers
  • International trade: Flows of energy products for oil and natural gas
  • About 40 energy generation technologies:
    • Nearly 30 power generation technologies (incl. conventional, new and renewable)
    • More than 10 hydrogen production technologies
  • GHG Emissions and Abatement Costs (by region, country & sector; sub-sector decomposition for CO2)
  • Assessment of the impacts of climate change policies on energy systems
  • Endogenous international energy prices and markets

Optional Module: Marginal Abatement Cost Curves (MACCs)

Our supplementary module, GHG Marginal Abatement Cost Curves (MACCs) , reveals the potential for emissions reductions across economic sectors, and respective costs to reach targets.

Geographic Coverage:

65+ countries and aggregates.

EUROPE

  • Austria
  • Belgium
  • Bulgaria
  • Croatia
  • Czech Republic
  • Denmark
  • Finland
  • France
  • Germany
  • Greece
  • Hungary
  • Ireland
  • Italy
  • The Netherlands
  • Norway
  • Poland
  • Portugal
  • Romania
  • Slovakia
  • Slovenia
  • Spain
  • Sweden
  • Switzerland
  • Turkey
  • United Kingdom
  • Baltic States*

Europe aggregates

  • Europe
  • European Union*
  • Baltic States(Estonia, Latvia and Lithuania)

AMERICAS

  • Canada
  • United States
  • Mexico
  • Brazil
  • Argentina
  • Chile

Amecias aggregates

    North America
  • Latin America
  • Central America*, Mexico* and the Caribbean*
  • Central America* and Caribbean*
  • South America excluding Brazil, Argentina, and Chile(Includes Colombia, Venezuela, Ecuador, Peru, Bolibia, Suriname, Guyana, Paraguay, Uruguay)*

ASIA

  • India
  • China
  • Indonesia
  • Japan
  • South Korea
  • Malaysia
  • Thailand
  • Vietnam

Asia aggregates*

  • Aia
  • South Asia(excluding India)
  • Rest of Southeast Asia

PACIFIC

  • Australia
  • Pacific (aggregate)
  • OECD Asia and Pacific(aggregate)

CIS

  • Russia
  • Ukraine

CIS aggregates *

  • CIS
  • Other CIS (Armenia, Azerbaijan, Belarus, Georgia, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Moldova, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, Uzbekistan)

AFRICA

  • Algeria-Libya*
  • Egypt*
  • Morocco-Tunisia*
  • South Africa

Africa aggregates

  • Africa
  • Northern Africa
  • Sub-Saharan Africa (excluding South Africa)*

MIDDLE EAST AGGREGATES

  • Middle-East*
  • Gulf Countries*
  • Mediterranean (excl. Gulf countries)*

*Note: Price Forecast unavailable.