欧洲铝市场分析

Abstract

The European aluminum industry was ranked the biggest aluminum producer worldwide in 2007, making it a vital region for the global aluminum industry, says "European Aluminum Market Analysis", a market research report by RNCOS. The report reviews Europe' s aluminum industry in context of the global aluminum industry. The analysis of the European aluminum industry is done by taking five countries into consideration based on their production and consumption level, economic stability, and future growth prospects.

As per the report, the European aluminum industry, after experiencing a slump in 2006, bounced back in 2007. Western Europe was the leading primary aluminum producing region in 2006, but the trend reversed in 2007 and Central & Eastern Europe emerged as the top primary aluminum producer. This region is expected to dominate the future primary aluminum production and export, while Western Europe is projected to take the shape of major consumer.

Key Findings

• Primary aluminum consumption of Germany is likely to cross 2 Million Metric Tons by the end of 2011 at a CAGR of around 2%.
• Expansion of new bauxite mines is expected to drive the primary aluminum production in France at a CAGR of around 1.55% during the forecasted period (2008-2011).
• Increasing income is likely to boost the European home building industry, which in turn will be a reason for high aluminum consumption during 2008-2011.
• Container and packaging industry, which is an aluminum consuming industry, is projected to surge at a CAGR of over 2% during the period 2008-2012 in Europe.
• Russia is anticipated to be a major aluminum exporter in coming years with exports of around 3.7 Million Metric Tons by 2012 end.

Key Issues & Facts Analyzed

• What are the trends in the European aluminum market with respect to production, consumption, and production capacity etc?
• What are the trends followed in different European countries?
• What are the success factors of the aluminum industry in Europe?

Key Players

This section provides the overview, key facts, and financials of major players in the European aluminum industry, including Alcoa Inc., Rio Tinto Alcan, BHP Billiton, Rusal and Norsk Hydro.

Research Methodology Used

Information Sources

Information has been sourced from books, newspapers, trade journals, and white papers, industry portals, government agencies, trade associations, monitoring industry news and developments, and through access to over 3000 paid databases.

Analysis Methods

The analysis methods include ratio analysis, historical trend analysis, linear regression analysis using software tools, judgmental forecasting, and cause and effect analysis.

Table of Contents

1. Analyst View

2. Global Aluminium Industry

• 2.1 Production
• 2.2 Consumption
  • 2.2.1 By End-use
• 2.3 Supply & Demand Side Developments
• 2.4 Future Outlook (2008-2012)

3. European Aluminium Industry in Global Context

4. Factors Fuelling Growth

• 4.1 Increasing Per Capita Aluminium Use
• 4.2 Efficiency of Aluminium Industry
• 4.3 Consumer Durable Market
• 4.4 Aerospace & Defence Industry
• 4.5 Automobile Industry
• 4.6 Home Building Industry
• 4.7 Container & Packaging Industry

5. European Aluminium Industry Performance

• 5.1 Primary Aluminium Production
• 5.2 Secondary Aluminium Production
• 5.3 Production Capacity
• 5.4 Aluminium Consumption - By End-use

6. European Aluminium Industry - By Country

• 6.1 Germany
  • 6.1.1 Market Overview
  • 6.1.2 Competitive Landscape
  • 6.1.3 International Trade
  • 6.1.4 Future Outlook (2008-2012)
• 6.2 France
  • 6.2.1 Market Overview
  • 6.2.2 Competitive Landscape
  • 6.2.3 International Trade
  • 6.2.4 Future Outlook (2008-2011)
• 6.3 UK
  • 6.3.1 Market Overview
  • 6.3.2 Competitive Landscape
  • 6.3.3 International Trade
  • 6.3.4 Future Outlook (2008-2011)
• 6.4 Italy
  • 6.4.1 Market Overview
  • 6.4.2 International Trade
  • 6.4.3 Future Outlook (2008-2011)
• 6.5 Russia
  • 6.5.1 Market Overview
  • 6.5.2 International Trade
  • 6.5.3 Future Outlook (2008-2012)

7. Prospects for Aluminium Industry

• 7.1 Home Building Industry
• 7.2 Container & Packaging Industry
  • 7.2.1 Healthcare Industry
  • 7.2.2 Confectionary Industry
• 7.3 Aerospace & Defence Industry
• 7.4 Automobile Industry

8. Key Players

• 8.1 Alcoa Inc.
• 8.2 Rio Tinto Alcan
• 8.3 Rusal
• 8.4 Norsk Hydro
• 8.5 BHP Billiton

List of Figures:

• Figure 2-1: Global - Production of Primary Aluminium (in Million Metric Tons), 2003-2007
• Figure 2-2: Global - Consumption of Primary Aluminium (in Million Metric Tons), 2002-2007E
• Figure 2-3: Global - Consumption of Aluminium by End-use (%), 2006
• Figure 2-4: Global - Forecast for Consumption of Primary Aluminium (in Million Metric Tons), 2008-2012
• Figure 3-1: Global - Production of Primary Aluminium by Region (%), 2007
• Figure 3-2: Global - Consumption of Primary Aluminium by Top Market (%), 2006
• Figure 4-1: Europe - Per Capita Aluminium Use (in Kg/Person), 1997, 2002 & 2005
• Figure 4-2: Europe* - Consumer Durable Product Sales (in Million Units), 2002-2007E
• Figure 4-3: Europe - Aerospace & Defence Industry (in Billion US$), 2003-2007
• Figure 4-4: Europe - Production of Vehicles (in Million Units), 2005 & 2006
• Figure 4-5: Europe - Home Building Industry (in Billion US$), 2002-2006
• Figure 4-6: Europe - Container & Packaging Industry (in Billion US$), 2003-2007E
• Figure 4-7: Europe - Delivery of Aluminium Foils (in ‘000 Metric Tons), 2000-2007
• Figure 5-1: Europe - Production of Primary Aluminium (in Million Metric Tons), 2002-2007
• Figure 5-2: Europe - Production of Secondary Aluminium (in Million Metric Tons), 2002-2006
• Figure 5-3: Europe - Aluminium Capacity Utilization w.r.t. World (%), 2001-2007
• Figure 5-4: Europe - Consumption of Aluminium by End-Use (%), 2005
• Figure 6-1: Germany - Primary Aluminium Industry (in Million US$), 2002-2006
• Figure 6-2: Germany - Production of Primary & Secondary Aluminium (in ‘000 Metric Tons), 2002-2007E
• Figure 6-3: Germany - Production of Semi-aluminium Products (in Million Metric Tons), 2002-2006
• Figure 6-4: Germany - Production of Semi-aluminium Products by Segment (%), 2006
• Figure 6-5: Germany - Production of Shaped Casting Aluminium (in ‘000 Metric Tons), 2002-2006
• Figure 6-6: Germany - Production of Shaped Casting Aluminium by Process (%), 2006
• Figure 6-7: Germany - Production of Processed Aluminium Products (in ‘000 Metric Tons), 2002-2006
• Figure 6-8: Germany - Demand of Primary Aluminium (in Million Metric Tons), 2003-2006
• Figure 6-9: Germany - Demand of Secondary Aluminium (in Million Metric Tons), 2003-2006
• Figure 6-10: Germany - Consumption of Aluminium by End-use (%), 2006
• Figure 6-11: Germany - Share of Top Players in Aluminium Industry (%), 2006
• Figure 6-12: Germany - Import* of Aluminium (in Million Metric Tons), 2004-2006
• Figure 6-13: Germany - Export* of Aluminium (in ‘000 Metric Tons), 2004-2006
• Figure 6-14: Germany - Forecast for Production of Primary Aluminium (in ‘000 Metric Tons), 2008-2011
• Figure 6-15: Germany - Forecast for Consumption of Primary Aluminium (in Million Metric Tons), 2008-2012
• Figure 6-16: Germany - Forecast for Production of Secondary Aluminium (in ‘000 Metric Tons), 2008-2012
• Figure 6-17: Germany - Production of Rolled Aluminium Products (in Million Metric Tons), 2007*-2012F
• Figure 6-18: Germany - Production of Aluminium Foil (in ‘000 Metric Tons), 2007*-2012F
• Figure 6-19: France - Primary Aluminium Industry (in Million US$), 2002-2006
• Figure 6-20: France - Production of Primary Aluminium (in Million Metric Tons), 2002-2007E
• Figure 6-21: France - Consumption of Primary Aluminium (in ‘000 Metric Tons), 2001-2005
• Figure 6-22: France - Import of Primary Aluminium (in ‘000 Metric Tons), 2002-2006
• Figure 6-23: France - Forecast for Production of Primary Aluminium (in ‘000 Metric Tons), 2008-2011
• Figure 6-24: UK - Primary Aluminium Industry (in Million US$), 2002-2006
• Figure 6-25: UK - Production of Primary Aluminium (in ‘000 Metric Tons), 2002-2007
• Figure 6-26: UK - Production of Secondary Aluminium (in ‘000 Metric Tons), 2002-2006*
• Figure 6-27: UK - Export of Aluminium (in ‘000 Metric Tons), 2002-2006
• Figure 6-28: UK - Import of Aluminium (in ‘000 Metric Tons), 2002-2006
• Figure 6-29: UK - Forecast for Production of Primary Aluminium (in ‘000 Metric Tons), 2008-2011
• Figure 6-30: UK - Export of Aluminium (in ‘000 Metric Tons), 2007E & 2011F
• Figure 6-31: Italy - Production of Primary & Secondary Aluminium (in ‘000 Metric Tons), 2000-2004
• Figure 6-32: Italy - Consumption of Primary Aluminium (in Million Metric Tons), 2002-2006
• Figure 6-33: Italy - Import of Primary Aluminium (in Million Metric Tons), 2002-2007E
• Figure 6-34: Italy - Forecast for Import of Primary Aluminium (in Million Metric Tons), 2008-2011
• Figure 6-35: Russia - Production of Primary Aluminium (in Million Metric Tons), 2002-2007E
• Figure 6-36: Russia - Consumption of Primary Aluminium (in Million Metric Tons), 2002-2006
• Figure 6-37: Russia - Aluminium Consumption by End-use (%), 2005
• Figure 6-38: Russia - Consumption of Aluminium Foil by Industry (%), 2005
• Figure 6-39: Russia - Production of Passenger Cars (in ‘000 Units), 2001-2006
• Figure 6-40: Russia - Production of Soft Drink Cans (in Million Units), 2001-2005
• Figure 6-41: Russia - Export of Primary Aluminium (in Million Metric Tons), 2002-2007E
• Figure 6-42: Russia - Forecast for Production & Export of Primary Aluminium (in Million Metric Tons), 2008-2012
• Figure 6-43: Russia - Forecast for Aluminium Foil Market (in ‘000 Metric Tons), 2008-2011
• Figure 7-1: Europe - Forecast for Home Building Industry (in Billion US$), 2008-2011
• Figure 7-2: Europe - Forecast for Container & Packaging Industry (in Billion US$), 2008-2012
• Figure 7-3: Europe - Forecast for Pharmaceutical Sales by Country (in Billion US$), 2008-2012
• Figure 7-4: Europe* - Forecast for Confectionary Sales (in ‘000 Metric Tons), 2008-2012
• Figure 7-5: Europe - Forecast for Aerospace & Defence Industry (in Billion US$), 2008-2012
• Figure 7-6: Europe - Forecast for New Car Sales (in Million Units), 2008-2012

List of Tables:

• Table 8-1: Alcoa Inc. - Key Financials (in Million US$), 2005-2007
• Table 8-2: Rio Tinto Alcan - Key Financials (in Million US$), 2004-2006
• Table 8-3: Norsk Hydro - Key Financials (in Million US$), 2004-2006
• Table 8-4: BHP Billiton - Key Financials (in Million US$), 2005-2007