全球轿车市场

Abstract

RNCOS' report “Passenger Car Market: A Global Review (2006)” provides objective analysis of the global passenger car industry to help clients in evaluating the potential opportunities and challenges of the dynamic industry. Passenger cars industry is contributing a considerable portion of the global automotive production. With the spontaneous growth in the emerging market, the overall sales of passenger cars enlarged by 3.3% in 2005. Low penetration of car industry in the developing countries indicates the high probability of growth in the untapped market.

Key Players Analyzed

This section covers the key facts about major players currently operating in the global passenger car industry such as General Motors, Toyota, Ford, Volkswagen AG, Daimler Chrysler AG, Nissan Motor Company Ltd., Honda, PSA Peugeot.

Key Issues and Facts Analyzed

• Is the Passenger car Industry in the developed and the emerging countries performing well?
• How attractive is the passenger car industry for investors?
• Key challenges and the driving forces in the passenger car industry.
• Who are the key competitors in the global passenger car industry?

Key Findings

• Growing low cost vehicles markets in developing countries like China and India are driving the passenger cars. It offers immense opportunities for global players in these economies.
• In the developed countries saturating market, and increasing the used car market are the major problems before the western automotive markets.
• From long-term perspective, cheap financing and price discounts will not drive the western markets because consumers consider it as a normal market feature.
• BRIC countries will be the potential destinations for global players. BRIC countries are expected to account for 47% of passenger car sales during years 2001-2010.

Research Methodology Used

Information Sources

Information has been sourced from namely, books, newspapers, trade journals, and white papers, industry portals, government agencies, trade associations, industry news and developments, and through access to more than 3000 paid databases.

Analysis Methods

The analysis methods include the following: Ratio Analysis, Historical Trend Analysis, Linear Regression Analysis using software tools, Judgmental Forecasting and Cause and Effect Analysis.

Table of Contents

1. Analyst View

2. Research Overview

3. Industry Overview

• 3.1 General Automotive Industry Model
• 3.2 Global Passenger Cars Industry
  • 3.2.1 Production Statistics
  • 3.2.2 Passenger Car Market - Geographical Distribution

4. Industry Performance

• 4.1 Developed Markets
  • 4.1.1 United States
  • 4.1.2 Canada
  • 4.1.3 Germany
  • 4.1.4 UK
  • 4.1.5 Italy
  • 4.1.6 Spain
  • 4.1.7 France
  • 4.1.8 Japan
• 4.2 Developing Markets
  • 4.2.1 China
  • 4.2.2 India
  • 4.2.3 Russia
  • 4.2.4 Brazil
  • 4.2.5 South Africa
  • 4.2.6 Czech Republic
  • 4.2.7 South Korea

5. Industry Analysis

• 5.1 Driving Forces
  • 5.1.1 Emerging Markets
  • 5.1.2 Price Discounts & Cheap Financing
  • 5.1.3 Players & Government Initiatives
• 5.2 Opportunities
  • 5.2.1 BRIC Countries
  • 5.2.2 Cheap Production Base
  • 5.2.3 Product Innovation for Cheaper Design
  • 5.2.4 Technology Advances
  • 5.2.5 Fuel Substitute
  • 5.2.6 Low Cost Passenger Vehicles
• 5.3 Challenges
  • 5.3.1 Saturating Western Automotive Markets
  • 5.3.2 Squeezing Profit Margins
  • 5.3.3 Rising Fuel Prices
  • 5.3.4 Dependence on Western Markets

6. Key Players

• 6.1 General Motors
• 6.2 Toyota
• 6.3 Ford
• 6.4 Volkswagen AG
• 6.5 Daimler Chrysler AG
• 6.6 Nissan Motor Company Ltd.
• 6.7 Honda
• 6.8 PSA Peugeot

List of Figures:

• Figure 3-1: General Automotive Industry Model
• Figure 3-2: Global - Passenger Car Production (in Million Units), 2004 & 2005
• Figure 3-3: Global - Market Share of Passenger Car by Region (%), 2005
• Figure 4-1: US - Passenger Car Production (in Million Units), 2000-2006E
• Figure 4-2: US - Number of Passenger Cars (per ‘000 Population), 2000-2006E
• Figure 4-3: US - Forecast for Passenger Car Production (in Million Units), 2007-2010
• Figure 4-4: Canada - Passenger Car Production (in Million Units), 2001-2005
• Figure 4-5: Canada - Number of Passenger Cars (per ' 000 Population), 2000-2006E
• Figure 4-6: Canada - Forecast for Passenger Car Registration (in ‘000 Units), 2007-2010
• Figure 4-7: Canada - Forecast for Number of Passenger Cars (per ‘000 Population), 2007-2010
• Figure 4-8: Canada - Forecast for Retail Sales of Petrol (in ‘000 Tons), 2007-2010
• Figure 4-9: Germany - Passenger Car Production (in ‘000 Units), 2000-2005
• Figure 4-10: Germany - Number of Passenger Cars (per ‘000 Population), 2000-2006E
• Figure 4-11: Germany - Forecast for Passenger Car Registration (in ‘000 Units), 2007-2010
• Figure 4-12: Germany - Forecast for Number of Passenger Cars (per ‘000 Population), 2007-2010
• Figure 4-13: Germany - Forecast for Retail Sales of Petrol (in ‘000 Tons), 2007-2010
• Figure 4-14: UK - Passenger Car Production (in Million Units), 2000-2005
• Figure 4-15: UK - Number of Passenger Cars (per ‘000 Population), 2000-2006E
• Figure 4-16: UK - Forecast for Passenger Car Registration (in ‘000 Units), 2007-2010
• Figure 4-17: UK - Forecast for Number of Passenger Cars (per ‘000 Population), 2007-2010
• Figure 4-18: UK - Forecast for Retail Sales of Petrol (in ‘000 Tons), 2007-2010
• Figure 4-19: Italy - Passenger Car Production (in Million Units), 2000-2005
• Figure 4-20: Italy - Number of Passenger Cars (per ‘000 Population), 2000-2006E
• Figure 4-21: Italy - Forecast for Passenger Car Registration (in ‘000 Units), 2007-2010
• Figure 4-22: Italy - Forecast for Number of Passenger Cars (per ‘000 Population), 2007-2010
• Figure 4-23: Italy - Forecast for Retail Sales of Petrol (in ‘000 Tons), 2007-2010
• Figure 4-24: Spain - Passenger Car Production (in Million Units), 2001-2005
• Figure 4-25: Spain - Number of Passenger Cars (per ‘000 Population), 2000-2006E
• Figure 4-26: Spain - Forecast for Passenger Car Registration (in ‘000 Units), 2007-2010
• Figure 4-27: Spain - Forecast for Number of Passenger Cars (per ‘000 Population), 2007-2010
• Figure 4-28: Spain - Forecast for Retail Sales of Petrol (in ‘000 Tons), 2007-2010
• Figure 4-29: France - Passenger Car Production (in ‘000 Units), 2000-2005
• Figure 4-30: France - Number of Passenger Cars (per ‘000 Population), 2001-2006E
• Figure 4-31: France - Forecast for Passenger Car Registration (in ‘000 Units), 2007-2010
• Figure 4-32: France - Forecast for Number of Passenger Cars (per ‘000 Population), 2007-2010
• Figure 4-33: France - Forecast for Retail Sales of Petrol (in ‘000 Tons), 2007-2010
• Figure 4-34: Japan - Passenger Car Production (in Million Units), 2000-2005
• Figure 4-35: Japan - Number of Passenger Cars (per ‘000 Population), 2000-2006E
• Figure 4-36: Japan - Forecast for Passenger Car Registration (in ‘000 Units), 2007-2010
• Figure 4-37: Japan - Forecast for Number of Passenger Cars (per ‘000 Population), 2007-2010
• Figure 4-38: Japan - Forecast for Retail Sales of Petrol (in ‘000 Tons), 2007-2010
• Figure 4-39: China - Passenger Car Production (in Million Units), 2000-2005
• Figure 4-40: China - Number of Passenger Cars (per ‘000 Population), 2000-2006E
• Figure 4-41: China - Forecast for Passenger Car Registration (in ‘000 Units), 2007-2010
• Figure 4-42: China - Forecast for Number of Passenger Cars (per ‘000 Population), 2007-2010
• Figure 4-43: China - Forecast for Retail Sales of Petrol (in ‘000 Tons), 2007-2010
• Figure 4-44: India - Passenger Car Production (in Million Units), 2000-2005
• Figure 4-45: India - Number of Passenger Cars (per ‘000 Population), 2000-2006E
• Figure 4-46: India - Forecast for Passenger Car Registration (in ‘000 Units), 2007-2010
• Figure 4-47: India - Forecast for Number of Passenger Cars (per ‘000 Population), 2007-2010
• Figure 4-48: Russia - Passenger Car Production (in ‘000 Units), 2000-2005
• Figure 4-49: Russia - Number of Passenger Cars (per ‘000 Population), 2000-2006E
• Figure 4-50: Russia - Forecast for Passenger Car Registration (in ‘000 Units), 2007-2010
• Figure 4-51: Russia - Forecast for Number of Passenger Cars (per ‘000 Population), 2007-2010
• Figure 4-52: Russia - Forecast for Retail Sales of Petrol (in ‘000 Tons), 2007-2010
• Figure 4-53: Brazil - Passenger Car Production (in Million Units), 2000-2005
• Figure 4-54: Brazil - Number of Passenger Cars (per ‘000 Population), 2000-2006E
• Figure 4-55: Brazil - Forecast for Passenger Car Registration (in ‘000 Units), 2007-2010
• Figure 4-56: Brazil - Forecast for Number of Passenger Cars (per ‘000 Population), 2007-2010
• Figure 4-57: Brazil - Forecast for Retail Sales of Petrol (in ‘000 Tons), 2007-2010
• Figure 4-58: South Africa - Passenger Car Production (in ‘000 Units), 2000-2005
• Figure 4-59: South Africa - Number of Passenger Cars (per ‘000 Population), 2000-2006E
• Figure 4-60: South Africa - Forecast for Passenger Car Registration (in ‘000 Units), 2007-2010
• Figure 4-61: South Africa - Forecast for Number of Passenger Cars (per ‘000 Population), 2007-2010
• Figure 4-62: South Africa - Forecast for Retail Sales of Petrol (in ‘000 Tons), 2007-2010
• Figure 4-63: Czech Republic - Passenger Car Production (in ‘000 Units), 2000-2005
• Figure 4-64: Czech Republic - Number of Passenger Cars (per ‘000 Population), 2000-2006E
• Figure 4-65: Czech Republic - Forecast for Passenger Car Registration (in ‘000 Units), 2007-2010
• Figure 4-66: Czech Republic - Forecast for Number of Passenger Cars (per ‘000 Population), 2007-2010
• Figure 4-67: Czech Republic - Forecast for Retail Sales of Petrol (in ‘000 Tons), 2007-2010
• Figure 4-68: South Korea - Passenger Car Production (in ‘000 Units), 2000-2005
• Figure 4-69: South Korea - Number of Passenger Cars (per ‘000 Population), 2000-2006E
• Figure 4-70: South Korea - Forecast for Passenger Car Registration (in ‘000 Units), 2007-2010
• Figure 4-71: South Korea - Forecast for Number of Passenger Cars (per ‘000 Population), 2007-2010
• Figure 4-72: South Korea - Forecast for Retail Sales of Petrol (in ‘000 Tons), 2007-2010
• Figure 5-1: BRIC - Passenger Car Sales (in Million Units), 2001, 2004 & 2010F
• Figure 5-2: Global - Number of Passenger Cars (per ‘000 Population), 2005
• Figure 5-3: Global - In-Car GPS Navigation Systems (in Billion US$), 2000-2005

List of Tables:

• Table 3-1: Automotive Industry Suppliers Characteristics
• Table 4-1: UK - Top 10 Companies by Share of New Passenger Car Registrations (%), 2005
• Table 5-1: BRIC - Economic Indicator, 2005
• Table 6-1: General Motors - Sales by Geographical Division, 2005
• Table 6-2: General Motors - Financial Overview (in Million US$), 2003-2005
• Table 6-3: Toyota - Financial Overview (in Million US$), 2004-2006
• Table 6-4: Ford - Financial Overview (in Million US$), 2003-2005
• Table 6-5: Volkswagen AG - Financial Overview (in Million US$), 2003-2005
• Table 6-6: Daimler Chrysler AG - Financial Overview (in Million US$), 2003-2005
• Table 6-7: Nissan Motor Company Ltd. - Financial Overview (in Million US$), 2003-2005
• Table 6-8: Honda - Financial Overview (2003-2005)
• Table 6-9: PSA Peugeot - Financial Overview (in Million US$), 2002-2004