Abstract
This 200 pages report is an analysis of the Hybrid and Electric Vehicles (HEV) technologies in development and business opportunities in this market. The report provides a thorough analysis of the HEV Market and discusses current trends and regulatory constraints. Examples of technologies covered are: Plug-in Hybrid vehicles, Diesel Hybrid vehicles, Hydraulic Hybrid vehicles and others. The report focuses also on the battery technologies, new trends and discusses the pros and cons of batteries and raw materials for the HEV market including: Li-ion, NiMH, new cathodes, Lithium metal phosphates.
This report will help you to
- Comprehend todays market environment → Why HEVs? What are HEVs, Plug-in HEV?
- Determine & forecast market in volume and value → Penetration? Sales?
- Assess new products & technologies → New Hybrids? New Batteries?
- Identify current and new competitors → Leaders? Strategies?
- Understand future trends and perspectives → Regulatory issues?
- Support your research and development
- Gather accurate data for presentations
Table of Contents
- TOYOTA PRIUS : The success story
- Aim of the Study
- Methodology
- Interviews
- Several announcements in 2005-2006
PART 1: WHY HYBRID ELECTRIC VEHICLE?
- HEV: Advantages / Issues
- Companies Global Opinion on HEV
- HEV models on the market
- Three main reasons to buy an HEV
- Global petroleum consumption will drastically grow in the next few years
- Fuel prices will remain very high, about $3/gallon in USA
- Reduction of CO2 emission
- Worldwide Motor Gasoline Demand in million tons (1949-2005)
- The WTI* price grew drastically during the last two years
- The US Diesel & Gasoline price peak in 2006.
- Gasoline price in USA
- Fuel price remains much more expensive in EU than in US
- CO2 Emission: USA & China are the most polluting countries
- HEV costs & amortization: Diesel in Europe is still much more economic than hybrid
PART 2: WHAT IS AN HYBRID ELECTRIC VEHICLE?
- What makes a HEV?
- HEV segmentation
- PHEV compared with regular hybrid
- Plug-in Hybrids conversions
- HEV Market: Toyota is the leader
- HEV vehicles Worldwide in 2005
- Why HEV market is so small in EUROPE?
- HEV is more fitted for the US market
- European and US taxes for Gasoline
PART 3: REGULATORY ISSUES IN ORDER TO PROMOTE HYBRID ELECTRIC VEHICLE
- Kyoto Protocol
- European Emission Standards
- US situation
- Tier 2 standard
- Global emission standard 2005-2015
- CO2 average emission for passengers car
- Policies Reducing taxes and incentives on HEV per countries
- Corporations incentives in the US
- ACEEE Estimates of HEV Tax credits
PART 4: CAR MAKERS AND AUTO PART MAKER' S STRATEGIES
- TOYOTA LEADERSHIP
- Toyota HEV Sales in the US in 2006
- Ford, Honda & others
- Ford USA HEV sales in 2006
- HEV Strategies and Involvement
- Toyota HEV Program
- Comparison between Toyota hybrids in USA
- Honda: many upcoming models
- FORD: HEV models
- Auto parts makers in HEV
- Auto parts makers & car makers Partnerships
PART 5: BATTERIES FOR HYBRID VEHICLES
- Sources statements on batteries
- Batteries characteristics - NiMH, Li-ion
- HEV battery requirements
- Is LI-ION likely to replace NIMH in coming years?
- Li-Ion batteries in the portable electronic business
- Nickel metal hydride (NiMH) batteries are dominating the power-assist hybrid market
- Which battery for the future?
PART 6: BATTERIES SUPPLIERS
- Investment on LI-ION for HEV
- Majors battery suppliers market shares per technology and per volume, sales in 2005
- Japanese, Chinese and Korean market shares, in value
- NiMH Battery: Market shares in 2005 in volume & value worldwide
- Li-ion & Polymer Battery: Market shares in 2005 in volume & value worldwide
- Battery Industry in 2005: NiCd, NiMH & Li-ion competitors market shares in volume
- Sales per chemistry
- Japanese, Chinese & Korean market shares 2005
- Battery Industry in 2005
- Main challenges for batteries suppliers
- Strategies on HEV in figures
- Batteries suppliers relationships
- Batteries suppliers & auto parts makers relationships
- Sanyo
- Panasonic
- Valence technology
- Johnson Controls - Saft
- A123
- BYD
PART 7: HYBRID VEHICLES' PERSPECTIVES
- R&D on HEV : Toyota, Nissan & Ford
- Patent topic on HEV for Toyota, Nissan & Honda from 80' to 2003
- Hybrid diesel vehicles
- Other developments: Hydraulic diesel, Pneumatic hybrid, High Power Bio diesel
- TOYOTA next generation Battery
- Bollore
- Tepco
- Saab
- Toshiba
- Valence technology
- Sanyo
- Laboratories R &D ON HEV : NREL, ARGONNE, AVT,
- Cathode: A key component for a battery
- Cobalt needs for battery in 2006
- Cobalt price 2003-2006
- Raw material of the future replacing cobalt oxide?
- The phosphate
- The Lithium Nano Scale particles
- LI(Ni-Mn-Co)O2 & LINiMnCoAlO2 Cathode
- LiFePO4
- LiMnPO4
- LIFePO4/Li4Ti5O12
PART 8: HYBRID VEHICLE' S SUBSTITUTES
- Fuel cells
- Gas GPL
- Biofuel
PART 9: FORECASTS ON HEV AND BATTERIES MARKETS
- Light hybrid cars evolution from their launching day : Prius, Camry, Civic, Accord, Altima
- SUV hybrid cars evolution: Highlander, Escape, Mariner
- HEV forecasts by country 2003-2015
- HEV forecasts by auto makers 2003-2015
- HEV penetration worldwide, 2003-2015
- HEV penetration by country 2003-2015
- HEV penetration by car makers 2003-2015
- HEV penetration in Toyota vehicle sales, by country 2003-2015
- HEV penetration in Honda vehicle sales, by country 2003-2015
- HEV penetration in Ford vehicle sales, by country 2003-2015
- HEV penetration in USA & other countries 2003-2015
- HEV cars makers market share 2003-2007
- Energy need in MWh for HEV by car makers 2003-2015
- Average energy per HEV car 2003-2007
- Battery market in M$ by car makers 2005-2007
- Car makers battery needs in M$ 2005-2007
- NiMH Vs. Li-ion for the future
- Comparing Li-ion penetration in Portable PCs, Cellular Phones & HEV
- NiMH technology is mature
- Price of the Portable energy for HEV today and tomorrow
- NIMH and LI-ION price in the future
- Time development to launch a new car
- HEV battery market 2003-2010 for NiMH & Li-ion batteries
- Long term HEV battery forecasts 2010-2015
- 2 scenarios analysis
PART 10: CONCLUSIONS
- ANNEXES
